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Cyber based influence campaigns 6th – 12th July 2026 Report

  • Writer: CRC
    CRC
  • 1 day ago
  • 19 min read
Cover Image- Text: Weekly Media Update: Information Operations


[Introduction]


Cyber-based hostile influence campaigns are aimed at influencing target audiences by promoting information and/or disinformation over the internet, sometimes combined with cyber-attacks which enhance their effect (hence force Cyfluence, as opposed to cyber-attacks that aim to steal information, extort money, etc.) Such hostile influence campaigns and operations can be considered an epistemological branch of Information Operations (IO) or Information Warfare (IW).

Typically, and as customary during the last decade, the information is spread throughout various internet platforms, which are the different elements of the hostile influence campaign, and as such, connectivity and repetitiveness of content between several elements are the main core characteristics of influence campaigns. 

Hostile influence campaigns, much like Cyber-attacks, have also become a tool for rival nations and corporations to damage reputation or achieve various business, political or ideological goals. Much like in the cyber security arena, PR professionals and government agencies are responding to negative publicity and disinformation shared over the news and social media. 

We use the term cyber based hostile influence campaigns, as we include in this definition also cyber-attacks aimed at influencing (such as hack and leak during election time), while we exclude of this term other types of more traditional kinds of influence such as diplomatic, economic, military etc.

During the 6th to the 12th of June 2026, we observed, collected and analyzed endpoints of information related to cyber based hostile influence campaigns (including Cyfluence attacks). The following report is a summary of what we regard as the main events. Some of the mentioned campaigns have to do with social media and news outlets solemnly, while others leverage cyber-attack capabilities.



[Contents]





Russia 

Ukraine

Iran






[ Report Highlights]


  • Russia deployed false deportation narratives against Baltic states, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia summoned Russian envoys after Moscow falsely alleged mass deportations of Russian speakers, with Lithuanian intelligence confirming this as a consistent Kremlin tactic for pressuring NATO members.


  • Russia's missile strike on Kyiv Pechersk Lavra has destroyed its core FIMI narrative of Orthodox Church protection, with UNESCO verifying 536 cultural sites destroyed and estimated damage reaching EUR 4 billion direct and EUR 20 billion indirect losses.

  • Iran's state funeral for Ali Khamenei generated a multi-layered disinformation operation: state broadcasters fabricated crowd estimates of up to 40 million, AFP Fact Check identified aerial footage as 99.7% likely AI-generated, and Tehran Municipality coercively mobilised attendance while local governors extracted over USD 570,000 from automobile manufacturers to fund roadside stations.

  • AI-generated synthetic media flooded social media during the Khamenei funeral, exploited simultaneously by pro-regime actors and opposition networks using the same generative tools to manipulate competing narratives, demonstrating AI disinformation is no longer exclusively a top-down state instrument.

  • INTERPOL's Operation First Light 2026 produced the largest coordinated enforcement action against fraud networks in the organisation's history, spanning 97 countries, resulting in 5,811 arrests and USD 293 million intercepted from social engineering scam networks.

  • The European Commission confirmed its Code of Practice on AI-Generated Content as an adequate compliance mechanism under Article 50 of the EU AI Act, with transparency obligations for marking and labelling synthetic media becoming legally binding from 2 August 2026.

  • The Brennan Center documented concurrent escalation of AI-enhanced Chinese, Russian, and Iranian election influence operations alongside systematic dismantlement of US federal election security infrastructure, including elimination of funding, cessation of state-level threat intelligence sharing, and failure to establish the Election Security Group.

[ Report Summary]

  • Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia summoned Russian diplomats to formally reject Kremlin claims that Baltic governments were preparing mass deportations of Russian-speaking residents.

  • Russia's June 2026 missile strike on the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra monastery has fatally undermined Moscow's core propaganda narrative of being the protector of the Orthodox Church.

  • Russia's Federal Security Bureau distributed fabricated archival documents about the 1943 Volyn tragedy in a targeted operation to damage Ukraine-Poland strategic relations.

  • Russian propaganda platforms exploited an image of the burning Dormition Cathedral, flagged as potentially AI-generated, to construct a false narrative that Ukrainian photographers had staged Russia's June 2026 attack on Kyiv Pechersk Lavra.

  • Russian information operations deployed AI-generated synthetic personas posing as Ukrainian soldiers, rabbis, and civilians on TikTok, Facebook, and YouTube to spread narratives of corruption, ethnic exclusion, and military futility.

  • Both pro-regime actors and Iranian opposition networks distributed AI-generated images of Ali Khamenei's state funeral, exploiting the same synthetic media tools to advance opposing political objectives.

  • International fact-checkers documented three categories of Iranian state deception at Khamenei's July 2026 funeral: fabricated crowd size statistics, AI-generated aerial footage, and coercive forced attendance mechanisms.

  • The week of Ali Khamenei's state funeral produced a significant surge of AI-generated video and image fabrications circulating across multiple platforms, with detection tools confirming the synthetic origins of viral content.

  • INTERPOL's Operation First Light 2026, spanning 97 countries, resulted in 5,811 arrests and the interception of USD 293 million in assets from social engineering scams and associated money laundering networks.

  • The European Commission confirmed its Code of Practice on AI-Generated Content as an adequate compliance mechanism under Article 50 of the EU AI Act, establishing voluntary standards for marking and labelling synthetic media ahead of binding legal obligations taking effect in August 2026.

  • A fabricated post mimicking Donald Trump's Truth Social format falsely claimed Belgium was on the verge of nuclear weapons development, originating from an X account and finding no corroboration in any authentic Trump record.

  • Pro-Kremlin networks circulated a doctored photograph depicting drug seizure bags labelled with Zelensky's image across 78 articles and thousands of posts in 13 languages, timed to coincide with the NATO Ankara Summit to undermine Zelensky's diplomatic credibility.

  • An Atlantic Council analysis argues Ukraine's documented successes in countering Russian information operations, including AI-powered multilingual official communications, real-time disinformation dashboards, and media literacy investment, provide a transferable model for NATO allies.

  • The Brennan Center documented concurrent escalation of Chinese, Russian, and Iranian AI-enhanced election influence operations alongside the Trump administration's systematic dismantlement of federal election security infrastructure established since 2016.

  • SentinelOne discovered that Chinese (VANGUARD PANDA) and Indian (DISCOBEAN) state-linked hacking groups independently and simultaneously infiltrated Pakistan's Balochistan Police for over two years, accessing biometric, criminal, and citizen data, each apparently unaware of the other's presence, with China likely motivated by CPEC security concerns and India by the regional rivalry over Baloch separatism.

  • Citizen Lab confirmed that Stelios Kouloglou, a PEGA Committee member investigating spyware abuses, was himself hacked with Pegasus twice during the committee's active drafting periods, the first confirmed such case, raising concerns about breached parliamentary privilege, with attribution unclear beyond overlap with an operator previously linked to targeting exiled Russian/Belarusian journalists.

  • Katie Harbath argues that the 2026 US midterms face a "kaleidoscopic minefield" of AI-driven threats, including autonomous agents, world models, and platform creator-monetization incentives that reward engagement over accuracy, that outpace post-2018 detection playbooks, and calls for shifting to rapid-triage frameworks built for unknown, fast-evolving attack vectors rather than static threat-mapping.

  • NewsGuard reports continued progress in its First Amendment lawsuit against the FTC following the agency's withdrawal of a documentary demand. At the same time, the Omnicom-Interpublic merger conditions prohibiting the media company from working with disinformation-rating services remains in force.

[State Actors]


Russia

Baltic States Summon Russian Envoys Over False Deportation Claims

A report published by Euronews states that Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia summoned Russian envoys after Moscow alleged the three NATO member states were preparing mass deportations of Russian-speaking residents. Lithuania's Foreign Ministry described the claims as 'entirely false,' and an attempt to 'divert attention from its aggression against Ukraine,' while Estonia's Foreign Minister called them 'nothing more than unfounded Russian propaganda,' and Latvia demanded Russia 'immediately retract this false information.'


A report published by Euronews states that Lithuanian intelligence assessments document Russia's consistent use of narratives accusing Baltic states of persecuting Russian speakers and glorifying Nazi collaborators, narratives that serve Moscow's strategic goal of justifying foreign policy positions and amplifying pressure on NATO members. The diplomatic row coincided with Russian escalation of missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure, indicating that the false deportation narrative was deployed as information cover for concurrent military operations.


Source: Euronews. Baltic States Summon Russian Envoys Over False Deportation Claims. [online] Published 10 July 2026. Available at: https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2026/07/10/baltic-states-summon-russian-envoys-over-false-deportation-claims


Russia's Attacks on Ukraine's Cultural Heritage

An analysis published by StopFake states that Russia's targeting of the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra monastery on June 15th 2026 has collapsed Moscow's central Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference (FIMI) narrative of portraying Russia as the protector of the Orthodox Church. The analysis documents that this propaganda strategy rested on the false appropriation of Ukrainian Christian heritage, systematically omitting that Prince Volodymyr was 'Prince of Kyiv' and that Moscow was founded 159 years after Kyiv, while UNESCO has verified destruction of 536 Ukrainian cultural sites and Ukraine's Ministry of Culture has recorded approximately 1,900 damaged heritage locations.


An analysis published by StopFake states that Russia's escalating attacks on cultural infrastructure reflect battlefield desperation rather than strategic intent, functioning as demoralization tactics when conventional military objectives fail. Estimated direct losses to Ukraine's cultural heritage have reached EUR 4 billion, with indirect losses of EUR 20 billion, and the theft of over 35,000 museum exhibits, a scale of cultural destruction that has simultaneously destroyed the credibility of Russia's self-assigned identity as civilization's defender.


Source: StopFake. Russia’s Attacks on Ukraine’s Cultural Heritage: A Nail in the Coffin of FIMI. [online] Published 8 July 2026. Available at: https://www.stopfake.org/en/russia-s-attacks-on-ukraine-s-cultural-heritage-a-nail-in-the-coffin-of-fimi/


Russia's FSB Launches Disinformation Campaign

A report published by Ukrainska Pravda states that Russia's Federal Security Bureau (FSB) launched a disinformation operation designed to damage Ukraine-Poland strategic relations by publishing allegedly 'declassified' files in Russia Today that falsely accused Ukrainian Insurgent Army commander Dmytro Kliachkivskyi of ordering the killing of approximately 2,000 Poles in Volodymyr-Volynskyi during 1943. Ukraine's Center for Countering Disinformation confirmed the documents were fabricated, with FSB Director Alexander Bortnikov personally overseeing the operation and state media instructed to amplify the narrative.


A report published by Ukrainska Pravda states that the strategic objective of the FSB operation was to 'destroy the strategic partnership through manipulation of the past' by exploiting Polish historical trauma around the Volyn tragedy to provoke emotional reactions and fracture the Ukraine-Poland alliance at a critical moment of military cooperation. The operation was accompanied by identified bot farm activity targeting Polish social media and a network of eleven individuals organising anti-Ukrainian rallies in Poland for Russian payment, revealing a coordinated multi-vector influence campaign.


Source: Ukrainska Pravda. Russia's FSB Launchs Disinformation Campaign Using Fake Volyn Tragedy Documents. [online] Published 5 July 2026. Available at: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/05/8042440/


Ukraine

Fake Photo Let Russian Propaganda Cast Doubt on Kyiv Lavra Strike

An investigation published by Kyiv Independent states that Russian propaganda platforms exploited a photograph of the Dormition Cathedral burning during Russia's 15 June 2026 missile strike, an image that OpenAI's detection tools flagged as containing SynthID watermarks suggesting AI generation or editing, to construct a false narrative that Ukrainian photographers had staged the attack by setting up filming positions in advance. Pro-Kremlin accounts circulated the cathedral image alongside two AI-generated photographs falsely depicting journalists preparing the scene, with accompanying text claiming: 'The third photo shows the resulting image taken by these photographers.'


An investigation published by Kyiv Independent states that StopFake.org's Olga Yurkova explained the standard propaganda methodology at work: 'propagandists first establish a narrative and then create visual evidence' to support predetermined false conclusions. Meta initially restricted posts about the attack due to a technical error linking legitimate reporting to an AFP fact-check examining the AI-generated imagery, but subsequently removed the false-information labels after acknowledging the algorithmic mistake, a sequence that demonstrates how AI-generated disinformation can briefly weaponise platform safety systems against accurate reporting.


Source: The Kyiv Independent. How One Questionable Photo Fueled Confusion Over Russia's Attack on Kyiv Lavra. [online] Published 7 July 2026. Available at: https://kyivindependent.com/how-one-fake-photo-let-russian-propaganda-cast-doubt-on-kyiv-lavra-strike/


Russia Is Building Fake Ukrainians

An analysis published by Euromaidan Press states that Russian information operations deployed at least three AI-generated videos targeting Ukrainian audiences across TikTok, Facebook, and YouTube in May 2026, collectively accumulating millions of views: a synthetic soldier accusing politicians of 'building a third house on the French Riviera' while troops sacrificed (915,000 views on Facebook), an AI-generated rabbi claiming draft dodgers should lose Ukrainian citizenship while deploying antisemitic tropes (557,000 views on TikTok), and a fabricated soldier accusing President Zelenskyy of pursuing war until complete societal destruction (425,000 views on TikTok).


An analysis published by Euromaidan Press states that the three videos advanced distinct but complementary narratives, political corruption and soldier exploitation; ethnic exclusivity and Jewish overreach; and autocratic indifference to civilian casualties, while coordinated artificial promotion through bot engagement amplified their reach simultaneously across TikTok, YouTube, Facebook, Telegram, and X. The campaign demonstrates a sophisticated industrial-scale fabrication strategy in which AI-generated synthetic personas impersonate Ukrainian community figures to delegitimise the state, fracture social cohesion, and undermine civilian support for military mobilisation from within.


Source: Euromaidan Press. Russia Is Building Fake Ukrainians: One AI Video, Telling Ukrainians Their Soldiers Are Dying So Politicians Can Buy Villas, Got 900,000 Views. [online] Published 4 July 2026. Available at: https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/07/04/russia-is-building-fake-ukrainians-one-ai-video-telling-ukrainians-their-soldiers-are-dying-so-politicians-can-buy-villas-got-900000-views/


Iran

Regime Supporters and Opposition Share AI-Generated Images

A report published by France 24 states that both pro-regime actors and Iranian opposition networks distributed AI-generated images of Ali Khamenei's state funeral, exploiting the same synthetic media tools to advance opposing political objectives. Regime supporters posted fabricated images of massive crowds at the Grande Mosalla Mosque and Azadi Tower, accumulating over 100,000 views and picked up by African media outlets, while opposition networks distributed a fabricated image of dissident rapper Toomaj Salehi appearing to honour Khamenei, both categories confirmed as AI-generated through SynthID watermark analysis.


A report published by France 24 states that the parallel deployment of AI-generated content by opposing sides of Iran's political conflict reveals a fundamental shift in information warfare: synthetic imagery has become a universally accessible tool that requires neither state resources nor technical expertise, enabling both authoritarian governments and their opponents to manipulate public perception of the same event with fabricated visual evidence. The Khamenei funeral case demonstrates that AI disinformation is no longer exclusively a top-down state instrument but has become a contested terrain where all parties manufacture crowd sizes, emotional reactions, and political moments to shape international and domestic narratives.


Source: France 24. Regime Supporters and Opposition Share AI-Generated Images of Khamenei’s Funeral. [online] Published 8 July 2026. Available at: https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260708-regime-supporters-opposition-share-ai-generated-images-khamenei-funeral


Fact-Checkers Exposed the Iranian State's Funeral Fraud

A report published by NCRI states that international fact-checkers documented three categories of Iranian state deception surrounding Ali Khamenei's July 2026 state funeral: state broadcaster IRIB escalated crowd size claims from 'several million' to 15-20 million by 5 July, then 40 million nationwide by 10 July, while Reuters drone footage showed 'hundreds of thousands'; AFP Fact Check identified a 33-second aerial video as 99.7% likely AI-generated; and France 24 detected 'a fabricated beige dome replacing a real blue dome' and 'banners displaying illegible gibberish instead of actual Persian text' in widely circulated footage.


A report published by NCRI states that the Iranian state supplemented media fabrication with coercive physical mobilisation: Tehran Municipality cancelled all employee leave and mandated attendance, the SAIJA organisation and Hamshahri newspaper bused workers under threat, and local governors extracted over USD 570,000 from automobile manufacturers to finance roadside stations, while the Ministry distributed 50 million free loaves of bread to financially incentivise participation. The three-layer deception strategy fabricated statistics, AI-generated visual evidence, and forced attendance to generate authentic-looking crowd footage represents a comprehensive state-coordinated disinformation architecture designed to construct a false narrative of popular grief for both domestic control and international legitimacy.


Source: National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI). Manufactured Grief: How Fact-Checkers Exposed the Iranian State’s Funeral Fraud. [online] Published 11 July 2026. Available at: https://www.ncr-iran.org/en/news/iran-a-world/manufactured-grief-how-fact-checkers-exposed-the-iranian-states-funeral-fraud/


[AI Related Articles]


Viral AI Fakes Flood Social Media as Iran Mourns Khamenei

A report published by France 24 states that the week of Ali Khamenei's state funeral in early July 2026 produced a significant surge of AI-generated video and image fabrications across multiple platforms, with SynthID watermark analysis confirming the synthetic origins of viral content including AI-generated footage of massive crowds at the Grande Mosalla Mosque and Azadi Tower (accumulating over 100,000 views and picked up by African media) and an X post claiming approximately 40 million people attended via an AI-generated video that circulated in multiple languages.


A report published by France 24 states that the Khamenei funeral disinformation surge demonstrates how major political events create predictable windows of high-volume AI content generation, as both state actors and opposition networks exploit the same generative tools to manipulate narratives about contested events. Pakistan's IVerify identified crowds in funeral footage moving in 'unnatural, wave-like patterns resembling flowing water', a characteristic artifact of AI video generation, illustrating that while detection tools are advancing, the volume and velocity of synthetic content production consistently outpaces platform enforcement capacity.


Source: France 24. Viral AI Fakes Flood Social Media as Iran Mourns Khamenei. [online] Published 8 July 2026. Available at: https://www.france24.com/en/viral-ai-fakes-flood-social-media-as-iran-mourns-khamenei-1


Over 5,800 Arrests in Global Fraud Bust

A press release published by INTERPOL states that Operation First Light 2026, a coordinated anti-fraud initiative spanning 97 countries that ran from January to April 2026, resulted in 5,811 arrests, the interception of USD 293 million in assets, the blocking of 31,014 bank accounts, and the identification of 142,000 victims globally from social engineering scams and associated money laundering operations. The operation analysed 152,808 cases, solved 23,715, and issued 99 Notices and Diffusions, with INTERPOL's Global Rapid Intervention of Payments (I-GRIP) system deployed as a stop-payment mechanism to swiftly block illicit financial flows.


A press release published by INTERPOL states that the operation targeted social engineering scams, techniques that exploit human trust rather than technical vulnerabilities to obtain money or confidential information, reflecting the growing convergence between influence operations and financial fraud, where manipulative narrative techniques are increasingly weaponised for economic gain at global scale. The scale of Operation First Light 2026, encompassing nearly 100 countries and resulting in the largest coordinated enforcement action against fraud networks in INTERPOL's history, signals a decisive shift toward treating AI-enabled social engineering as a transnational security threat requiring multilateral law enforcement response.


Source: INTERPOL. Over 5,800 Arrests, USD 293 Million Intercepted in Global Fraud Bust. [online] Published 9 July 2026. Available at: https://www.interpol.int/News-and-Events/News/2026/Over-5-800-arrests-USD-293-million-intercepted-in-global-fraud-bust


EU Confirms Code of Practice on AI-Generated Content 

A policy document published by the European Commission states that the Commission and AI Board confirmed the Code of Practice on AI-Generated Content as an adequate compliance tool under Article 50 of the EU AI Act, which mandates transparency in AI-generated content and addresses 'risks of deception and manipulation, fostering the integrity of the information ecosystem.' The Code requires AI providers to mark audio, image, video, and text outputs in machine-readable formats detectable as artificially generated, and requires deployers to disclose deepfakes and AI-generated text on matters of public interest, with transparency obligations becoming legally binding from 2 August 2026.


A policy document published by the European Commission states that while adherence to the Code of Practice is currently voluntary, its confirmation as an adequate compliance mechanism reduces administrative burden for signatories across EU Member States and establishes an industry-wide technical baseline for watermarking, detection, and labelling of synthetic media. The Commission's action comes at a moment when AI-generated content has reached sufficient scale and sophistication, demonstrated by the Khamenei funeral disinformation surge in the same week,  to constitute a systemic threat to the information ecosystem that voluntary standards alone cannot address.


Source: European Commission. Code of Practice on Transparency of AI-Generated Content. [online] Published 10 June 2026. Available at: https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/policies/code-practice-ai-generated-content


AI Threats to the 2026 Midterms

Digital security strategist Katie Harbath identifies the AI threat landscape for the 2026 US midterm elections as a rapidly shifting kaleidoscopic minefield in which known threats such as deepfakes are relatively well-mapped, but novel and unnamed threat vectors are emerging faster than existing frameworks can track. Harbath highlights as particular unknowns: AI agents capable of acting autonomously on a voter's behalf; world models capable of simulating political scenarios; and the ways AI systems respond to political information inputs. 


She argues that playbooks developed since 2018, built to detect established attack patterns, are structurally inadequate for the next generation of threats. The piece also identifies how creator monetization programmes on social platforms now provide financial incentives for engagement-maximizing content regardless of accuracy, compounding the risk from state-sponsored influence operations by creating an aligned commercial infrastructure that amplifies divisive or false material. Harbath advocates shifting from threat-mapping to rapid-triage frameworks designed for unknown attack vectors.


Source: Anchor Change. Kaleidoscopic Minefield: Election Playbook. [online] Published 28 October 2025. Available at: https://anchorchange.substack.com/p/kaleidoscopic-minefield-election-playbook 


[General Reports]


Member Of Committee Investigating Spyware Hacked with Pegasus

The Citizen Lab at the University of Toronto published forensic evidence confirming that Stelios Kouloglou, a former member of the European Parliament who sat on the PEGA Committee (the body tasked with investigating abuses of Pegasus and other commercial spyware), was himself hacked with NSO Group's Pegasus spyware on two separate occasions while the committee was active. The first infection occurred on 21 October 2022, coinciding with the committee's preparation of its draft report and upcoming hearings. 


The second infection occurred in June-July 2023 during the committee's final drafting period, approximately two months before the PEGA Committee adopted its first report. The attackers would have had access to confidential documents and committee deliberations, potentially breaching EU parliamentary privilege. Attribution remains uncertain: researchers found no indication of Greek government involvement but identified overlaps with an operator previously documented targeting Russian- and Belarusian-speaking exiled journalists in Europe. This is the first publicly confirmed case of a PEGA Committee member being hacked with Pegasus during the committee's operation.


Source: Citizen Lab. Espionage Against the European Parliament: Member of Committee Investigating Spyware Hacked with Pegasus. [online] Published 3 July 2026. Available at: https://citizenlab.ca/research/member-of-committee-investigating-spyware-hacked-with-pegasus/


Fake Trump Post Says Belgium Is 2 Weeks Away from Developing a Nuclear Bomb

A fact-check published by Lead Stories states that a fabricated post mimicking Donald Trump's Truth Social format falsely claimed that 'Belgium is 2 weeks away from developing a nuclear bomb,' originating from the @dogeofficialceo account on X on 7 July 2026. Lead Stories verified through manual review of Trump's Truth Social account, the Trump Truth archive, Google News, and Yahoo News that no authentic post from Trump's verified accounts contained the claim, noting that 'had the president actually made such a post, major news outlets would have widely reported it.'


A fact-check published by Lead Stories states that the fabricated Trump nuclear post was published on the same day as the NATO Ankara Summit opened, a timing pattern consistent with coordinated influence operations designed to inject destabilising false narratives into major geopolitical events at moments of maximum media attention. The use of a convincingly formatted social media mockup to impersonate a sitting head of state on a nuclear proliferation claim represents an escalating category of disinformation that exploits both platform format conventions and audience familiarity with political figures' communication styles to generate credibility for fabricated content.


Source: Lead Stories. Fact Check: Fake Trump Post Does NOT Say Belgium Is ‘2 Weeks Away’ From Developing A Nuclear Bomb. [online] Published 10 July 2026. Available at: https://leadstories.com/hoax-alert/2026/07/fact-check-fake-trump-post-says-belgium-is-2-weeks-away-from-developing-a-nuclear-bomb.html


The West Can Learn from Ukraine's Success Against Russian Propaganda

An analysis published by Atlantic Council states that Ukraine's documented successes in countering Russian information operations include deployment of an AI tool producing Ministry of Foreign Affairs statements in 30 languages with embedded unforgeable digital signatures, systems to counter Russia's network of thousands of fake websites, real-time disinformation dashboards for journalists, civil society, and government bodies, and media literacy investment through the Diia digital app, all anchored in 'laws promoting open data and transparency firmly rooted in democratic values.


An analysis published by Atlantic Council states that NATO should adopt a 'whole-of-government and society approach' involving coalition-building across sectors, drawing from Ukraine's experience demonstrating that democracies can counter propaganda through technological innovation coupled with ethical safeguards rather than censorship. The analysis argues that the structural advantage of autocracies their natural tendency to weaponise information makes counter-disinformation investment a core democratic security priority, and that Ukraine's war-accelerated capability development offers Western governments a tested operational model at a moment when Russian information operations are targeting NATO member states directly.


Source: Atlantic Council. The West Can Learn from Ukraine’s Success Against Russian Propaganda. [online] Published 2 July 2026. Available at: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/the-west-can-learn-from-ukraines-success-against-russian-propaganda/ 


India Ran Separate Spying Campaigns Against Same Pakistani Police Force

SentinelOne researchers found that two separate, unconnected state-linked hacking groups, one tied to China (tracked as VANGUARD PANDA) and one tied to India (tracked as DISCOBEAN), independently conducted parallel cyber espionage operations against Pakistan's Balochistan Police for more than two years, from February 2024 to April 2026. The compromised systems held criminal records, biometric and fingerprint data, personnel files, hotel and tenant registration records linked to national identity systems, and citizen complaints. 


China's motivation appears tied to monitoring threats to its nationals and infrastructure connected to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). India's motivation is likely linked to the bilateral rivalry and Pakistan's accusation that India backs the Baloch separatist insurgency. The simultaneous but independently run campaigns against the same target illustrate how a single police database can become the focus of competing foreign intelligence collection without either state being aware of the other's access.


Source: The Record. China, India Ran Separate Spying Campaigns Against Same Pakistani Police Force. [online] Published 10 July 2026. Available at: https://therecord.media/china-india-ran-separate-spy-campaigns-against-same-police-force


[Appendix - Frameworks to Counter Disinformation]


Threat of Foreign Influence on U.S. Elections Remains as Federal Defenses Recede

A report published by Brennan Center for Justice states that three nation-states are actively targeting U.S. elections with AI-enhanced tools: China's Golaxy Labs pays individuals to impersonate Western journalists while using AI to enhance message targeting; Russia's Social Design Agency hacked Bluesky user accounts and organised false-flag vandalism in Europe; and Iran is producing AI-enhanced video content and deploying fake news websites with AI-generated influencers. Simultaneously, the Trump administration has eliminated federal election security funding, ceased sharing threat intelligence with states, and failed to establish the Election Security Group.


A report published by Brennan Center for Justice states that the combination of increasing foreign actor sophistication, leveraging AI to increase campaign volume, believability, and reach, with the simultaneous dismantlement of federal coordination infrastructure creates significant intelligence gaps for state election officials attempting to identify and respond to ongoing influence operations. The Center notes that while the diversity of the U.S. electoral system and prior security investments make direct interference with vote-casting technically challenging, the receding of federal defences represents a structural vulnerability that foreign actors are already exploiting through information environment manipulation rather than direct electoral system attacks.


Source: Brennan Center for Justice. Threat of Foreign Influence on U.S. Elections Remain as Federal Defenses Recede. [online] Published 2 July 2026. Available at: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/threat-foreign-influence-us-elections-remain-federal-defenses-recede


FTC First Amendment Fight Continues

A newsletter published by NewsGuard states that the company's First Amendment lawsuit against the Federal Trade Commission and its chairman Andrew Ferguson,  challenging FTC conditioning of the Omnicom-Interpublic merger on prohibiting the combined entity from subscribing to any service that assesses the 'veracity of news reporting or other politically or ideologically contested facts', achieved a partial victory when the FTC dropped its demand for documents and ended its investigation, though the merger condition itself forbidding Omnicom from working with NewsGuard remains in force.


A newsletter published by NewsGuard states that the FTC's condition targets the company 'with the precision of a laser beam' by using government power to prevent NewsGuard from producing journalism that the Trump administration and some of its supporters in the media do not like, characterising the action as an unprecedented use of merger review authority to censor First Amendment-protected editorial judgments about news source reliability. The case has broader implications for the disinformation detection sector: if upheld, the merger condition would establish a precedent permitting federal agencies to use commercial regulatory power to suppress organisations whose core function is assessing the accuracy of information.


Source: NewsGuard's Reality Check. Our First Amendment Fight Continues. [online] Published 3 July 2026. Available at: https://www.newsguardrealitycheck.com/p/our-first-amendment-fight-continues 


[CRC Glossary]


The nature and sophistication of the modern Information Environment is projected to continue to escalate in complexity. However, across academic publications, legal frameworks, policy debates, and public communications, the same concepts are often described in different ways, making collaboration, cooperation, and effective action more difficult.


To ensure clarity and establish a consistent frame of reference, the CRC is maintaining a standard glossary to reduce ambiguity and promote terminological interoperability. Its scope encompasses foundational concepts, as well as emerging terms relating to Hostile Influence and Cyfluence.


As a collaborative project maintained with input from the community of experts, the CRC Glossary is intended to reflect professional consensus. We encourage you to engage with this initiative and welcome contributions via the CRC website.










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